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Montpellier (K) vs Saint-Étienne (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Montpellier (K) v Saint-Étienne (K) — Team-Based Signals
Montpellier (K) vs Saint-Étienne (K) Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
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1-1
HT 1-0
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Montpellier (K)
FRK1
Montpellier (K) 1-0 Saint-Étienne (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Montpellier (K) edged past Saint-Étienne (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Montpellier (K) as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
On the day, Montpellier (K) had 54% of the ball to Saint-Étienne (K)'s 46%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 2.55 to 0.53 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Montpellier (K)'s control.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Montpellier (K) had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Montpellier (K) and 0.33 for Saint-Étienne (K).
What was the final score of Montpellier (K) vs Saint-Étienne (K)?
Montpellier (K) 1-0 Saint-Étienne (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Montpellier (K) vs Saint-Étienne (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Montpellier (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Montpellier (K) 54%, draw 29%, Saint-Étienne (K) 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Montpellier (K)), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.