Saint-Étienne (K) 4-2 Montpellier (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 1 Nov 2025

📅01/11/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.69
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
44%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
24%
+7.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
44%
Away Win
52%
-8.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saint-Étienne (K) EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Montpellier (K) EU Bookmakers 56%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.84/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.12
-41% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
263 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 79%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.9
14.2 Crosses 21.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saint-Étienne (K)
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Montpellier (K)
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.56 xG 2.37
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
245 Passes 266
69% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.03.2025 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Saint-Étienne (K) Saint-Étienne (K) FRK1
23.11.2024 Saint-Étienne (K) Saint-Étienne (K) 0-2 HT 0-2 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) FRK1
24.04.2024 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) 4-0 HT 0-0 Saint-Étienne (K) Saint-Étienne (K) FRK1
30.09.2023 Saint-Étienne (K) Saint-Étienne (K) 1-1 HT 1-0 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saint-Étienne (K)
4-2
AWAY Montpellier (K)
4.12 xG 1.62
47% Ball Possession 53%
21 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 1
181 Passes 252
67% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Saint-Étienne (K) vs Montpellier (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saint-Étienne (K) saw off Montpellier (K) 4-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Montpellier (K) at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Saint-Étienne (K) had 47% of the ball to Montpellier (K)'s 53%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 4.12 to 1.62.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Montpellier (K) led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Saint-Étienne (K) and 2.00 for Montpellier (K).

What was the final score of Saint-Étienne (K) vs Montpellier (K)?

Saint-Étienne (K) 4-2 Montpellier (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 01/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saint-Étienne (K) vs Montpellier (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Montpellier (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Saint-Étienne (K) 31%, draw 25%, Montpellier (K) 44%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Montpellier (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Montpellier (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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