Jamshedpur 4-1 Chennaiyin FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.64
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.87
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
3.62
6+ Goals
11%
15.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.87 — our 29% vs market 27.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
57%
+3.5pp
19%
Draw
24%
-5.3pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+1.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.5pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jamshedpur EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Chennaiyin FC EU Bookmakers 21%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
1.86/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.12
+5% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
368 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 73%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
16.7 Crosses 21.7
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jamshedpur
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Chennaiyin FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
1.52 xG 1.64
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
234 Passes 202
70% Pass Accuracy 68%
24 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2025 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 5-2 HT 2-1 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
04.11.2024 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 1-5 HT 0-3 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
04.04.2024 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
07.12.2023 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 2-2 HT 1-2 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
07.01.2023 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur 2-2 HT 1-0 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
19.11.2022 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 3-1 HT 1-0 Jamshedpur Jamshedpur HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jamshedpur
4-1
AWAY Chennaiyin FC
1.60 xG 0.77
51% Ball Possession 49%
20 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
288 Passes 255
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 9
22 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Jamshedpur vs Chennaiyin FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jamshedpur ran out comfortable winners over Chennaiyin FC 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Jamshedpur as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Jamshedpur had 51% of the ball to Chennaiyin FC's 49%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 1.60 to 0.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chennaiyin FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Jamshedpur and 3.17 for Chennaiyin FC.

What was the final score of Jamshedpur vs Chennaiyin FC?

Jamshedpur 4-1 Chennaiyin FC in the India - Super League on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jamshedpur vs Chennaiyin FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jamshedpur win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Jamshedpur 61%, draw 19%, Chennaiyin FC 20%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jamshedpur), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jamshedpur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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HİNSL More India - Super League
25 Apr 2026
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