Warrenpoint Town 0-1 Ards FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 25 Apr 2026

Warrenpoint Town
0-1 HT 0-0
Ards FC
📅25/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
North Ireland - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Warrenpoint Town vs Ards FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.29
Over 2.5
48%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.49
No
48%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
4.46
2-3 Goals
40%
1.86
4-5 Goals
21%
2.68
6+ Goals
10%
7.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
31%
+4.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.1pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-3.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
40%
+12.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
60%
-12.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.9pp
48%
BTTS No
37%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Warrenpoint Town v Ards FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Warrenpoint Town EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Ards FC EU Bookmakers 48%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -12%
1.15/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/1.27
-17% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
327 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.5

Warrenpoint Town vs Ards FC Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Warrenpoint Town
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Ards FC
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
21.03.2026 Ards FC Ards FC 3-0 HT 1-0 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town KİRL1
26.12.2025 Ards FC Ards FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town KİRL1
11.04.2023 Ards FC Ards FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town KİRL1
26.11.2022 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town 1-4 HT 1-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
26.12.2013 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL
POST-MATCH Warrenpoint Town vs Ards FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ards FC nicked a narrow win over Warrenpoint Town 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 24% / 39%) promised a tight game; Ards FC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ards FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Warrenpoint Town and 1.60 for Ards FC.

What was the final score of Warrenpoint Town vs Ards FC?

Warrenpoint Town 0-1 Ards FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Warrenpoint Town vs Ards FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ards FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Warrenpoint Town 36%, draw 24%, Ards FC 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ards FC), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ards FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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KİRL1 More North Ireland - 1st Division
25 Apr 2026
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