Mathare United vs Nairobi United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mathare United v Nairobi United — Team-Based Signals
Mathare United vs Nairobi United Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Mathare United 1-2 Nairobi United — Actual Match Statistics
Nairobi United squeezed past Mathare United 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) promised a tight game; Nairobi United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Mathare United had 63% of the ball to Nairobi United's 37%, shots finished 6-4.
What was the final score of Mathare United vs Nairobi United?
Mathare United 1-2 Nairobi United in the Kenya - Premier League on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mathare United vs Nairobi United?
Before kick-off our model rated an Nairobi United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mathare United 34%, draw 28%, Nairobi United 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nairobi United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.