Suduva 1-0 FK Panevezys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
17%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
13%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
57%
-0.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
17%
Away Win
18%
-1.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suduva EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.77/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.68
+2% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suduva
1W-3D-2L
AWAY FK Panevezys
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.02.2026 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-0 HT 0-0 Suduva Suduva LITA
16.09.2025 Suduva Suduva 0-2 HT 0-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITK
12.09.2025 Suduva Suduva 1-1 HT 0-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
07.07.2025 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 1-2 HT 1-2 Suduva Suduva LITA
04.05.2025 Suduva Suduva 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
16.03.2025 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-0 HT 0-0 Suduva Suduva LITA
POST-MATCH Suduva vs FK Panevezys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suduva edged past FK Panevezys 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Suduva as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Panevezys led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Suduva and 1.00 for FK Panevezys.

What was the final score of Suduva vs FK Panevezys?

Suduva 1-0 FK Panevezys in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suduva vs FK Panevezys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suduva win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Suduva 57%, draw 26%, FK Panevezys 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Suduva), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Suduva) ✓ Under 2.5
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