Suduva 1-1 FK Panevezys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 12 Sep 2025

📅12/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+1.5pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.4pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suduva EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 30%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.91/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/0.99
+59% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suduva
1W-2D-3L
AWAY FK Panevezys
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.07.2025 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 1-2 HT 1-2 Suduva Suduva LITA
04.05.2025 Suduva Suduva 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
16.03.2025 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-0 HT 0-0 Suduva Suduva LITA
01.09.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-0 HT 0-0 Suduva Suduva LITA
26.06.2024 Suduva Suduva 1-3 HT 0-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
02.05.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 1-0 HT 0-0 Suduva Suduva LIT1
POST-MATCH Suduva vs FK Panevezys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suduva and FK Panevezys couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Suduva at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Panevezys led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Suduva and 1.17 for FK Panevezys.

What was the final score of Suduva vs FK Panevezys?

Suduva 1-1 FK Panevezys in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suduva vs FK Panevezys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suduva win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Suduva 48%, draw 23%, FK Panevezys 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Suduva), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Suduva) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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