Dziugas Telsiai 1-1 FK Dainava Alytus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 12 Sep 2025

📅12/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
25%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dziugas Telsiai EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus EU Bookmakers 24%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.84
+26% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +72%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dziugas Telsiai
4W-0D-2L
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.07.2025 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-2 HT 0-1 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LITA
03.05.2025 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 2-0 HT 2-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LITA
14.03.2025 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-2 HT 0-1 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LITA
01.09.2024 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-2 HT 0-1 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LITA
26.06.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 3-1 HT 0-1 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
02.05.2024 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 2-1 HT 1-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dziugas Telsiai
1-1
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dziugas Telsiai vs FK Dainava Alytus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dziugas Telsiai and FK Dainava Alytus couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Dziugas Telsiai at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Dziugas Telsiai had 65% of the ball to FK Dainava Alytus's 35%, shots finished 15-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dziugas Telsiai had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dziugas Telsiai and 1.00 for FK Dainava Alytus.

What was the final score of Dziugas Telsiai vs FK Dainava Alytus?

Dziugas Telsiai 1-1 FK Dainava Alytus in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 12/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dziugas Telsiai vs FK Dainava Alytus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dziugas Telsiai win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Dziugas Telsiai 48%, draw 27%, FK Dainava Alytus 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Dziugas Telsiai) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dziugas Telsiai) ✓ Under 2.5
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