Deportivo Maldonado 1-2 Albion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
28%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-1.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.3pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Maldonado EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Albion EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
0.96/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.58
-34% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +115%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Maldonado
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Albion
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
24.10.2022 Albion Albion 1-3 HT 1-1 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
15.07.2022 Albion Albion 2-3 HT 2-1 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado URU
04.06.2022 Deportivo Maldonado Deportivo Maldonado 0-0 HT 0-0 Albion Albion URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Maldonado
1-2
AWAY Albion
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Maldonado vs Albion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albion squeezed past Deportivo Maldonado 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Maldonado at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Deportivo Maldonado had 47% of the ball to Albion's 53%, shots finished 7-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Deportivo Maldonado had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Deportivo Maldonado and 1.00 for Albion.

What was the final score of Deportivo Maldonado vs Albion?

Deportivo Maldonado 1-2 Albion in the Uruguay - Premier League on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Maldonado vs Albion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Maldonado win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Maldonado 48%, draw 27%, Albion 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Deportivo Maldonado), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Maldonado) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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