Juventud 1-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 25 Apr 2026

📅25/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.67
Over 2.5
47%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-4.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.5pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventud EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -11%
1.03/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.27
-13% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -19%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
259 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventud
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 4
01.11.2025 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 0-1 HT 0-0 Juventud Juventud URU
04.05.2025 Juventud Juventud 1-0 HT 1-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
20.10.2019 Juventud Juventud 0-0 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventud
1-1
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Juventud vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventud and Liverpool FC (Montevideo) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Juventud had 58% of the ball to Liverpool FC (Montevideo)'s 42%, shots finished 15-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Juventud had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Juventud and 0.00 for Liverpool FC (Montevideo).

What was the final score of Juventud vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?

Juventud 1-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) in the Uruguay - Premier League on 25/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventud vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventud win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Juventud 39%, draw 27%, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Juventud) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Juventud) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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