Celtic 1-0 Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Cup, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.21
Over 2.5
46%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.56
No
55%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
4.4
2-3 Goals
41%
1.89
4-5 Goals
21%
2.94
6+ Goals
9%
8.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.4 — our 29% vs market 17.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.6
1/2
5%
33.0
1/X
9%
13.1
X/1
16%
4.66
X/2
11%
7.51
X/X
10%
5.45
2/1
6%
22.3
2/2
13%
5.03
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-2.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
60%
-14.5pp
55%
BTTS No
40%
+14.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celtic EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Rangers EU Bookmakers 31%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.57/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.08
-11% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +47%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
374 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 40.0
31.0 Crosses 42.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celtic
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Rangers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.54 xG 1.41
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
391 Passes 280
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
11.05.2024 Celtic Celtic 2-1 HT 2-1 Rangers Rangers İKP
07.04.2024 Rangers Rangers 3-3 HT 0-2 Celtic Celtic İKP
30.12.2023 Celtic Celtic 2-1 HT 1-0 Rangers Rangers İKP
03.09.2023 Rangers Rangers 0-1 HT 0-1 Celtic Celtic İKP
13.05.2023 Rangers Rangers 3-0 HT 2-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
30.04.2023 Rangers Rangers 0-1 HT 0-1 Celtic Celtic İKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celtic
1-0
AWAY Rangers
0.98 xG 0.49
63% Ball Possession 37%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 11
457 Passes 223
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 24
7 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Celtic vs Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celtic nicked a narrow win over Rangers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Celtic as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Celtic had 63% of the ball to Rangers's 37%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.98 to 0.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Celtic and 1.33 for Rangers.

What was the final score of Celtic vs Rangers?

Celtic 1-0 Rangers in the Scotland - Cup on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celtic vs Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Celtic 45%, draw 26%, Rangers 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celtic), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Celtic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →