Juventus 2-0 Monza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.23
Over 2.5
44%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.68
No
60%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
4.61
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
21%
2.87
6+ Goals
8%
8.12
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.61 — our 31% vs market 16.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-4.8pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.0pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
41%
+14.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
59%
-14.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
56%
-15.8pp
60%
BTTS No
44%
+15.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventus EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Monza EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +18%
1.85/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.38
-5% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +45%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
400 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 84%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
20.8 Crosses 10.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventus
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Monza
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.72 xG 1.24
40% Ball Possession 60%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
302 Passes 506
82% Pass Accuracy 88%
23 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2023 Monza Monza 1-2 HT 0-1 Juventus Juventus İTA
29.01.2023 Juventus Juventus 0-2 HT 0-2 Monza Monza İTA
19.01.2023 Juventus Juventus 2-1 HT 1-1 Monza Monza İTK
18.09.2022 Monza Monza 1-0 HT 0-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventus
2-0
AWAY Monza
0.91 xG 0.62
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
323 Passes 450
86% Pass Accuracy 89%
13 Box Touches 25
7 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Juventus vs Monza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus beat Monza 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Juventus as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Juventus had 42% of the ball to Monza's 58%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 0.91 to 0.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Juventus and 1.25 for Monza.

What was the final score of Juventus vs Monza?

Juventus 2-0 Monza in the Italy - Serie A on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventus vs Monza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventus win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Juventus 56%, draw 25%, Monza 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juventus), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Juventus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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