Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-0 OFK Pirin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
39%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.68
Over 2.5
56%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
28%
+6.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
39%
Away Win
46%
-7.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
56%
-11.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
44%
+11.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.5pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY OFK Pirin EU Bookmakers 50%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-23% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
241 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
2W-1D-0L
AWAY OFK Pirin
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.12.2023 OFK Pirin OFK Pirin 1-1 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
05.08.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 2-0 HT 1-0 OFK Pirin OFK Pirin BUL1
14.04.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 2-0 HT 1-0 OFK Pirin OFK Pirin BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
1-0
AWAY OFK Pirin
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs OFK Pirin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 nicked a narrow win over OFK Pirin 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 27% / 39% — and on the day Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 had 61% of the ball to OFK Pirin's 39%, shots finished 10-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 and 0.33 for OFK Pirin.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs OFK Pirin?

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 1-0 OFK Pirin in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs OFK Pirin?

Before kick-off our model rated an OFK Pirin win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 35%, draw 27%, OFK Pirin 39%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (OFK Pirin) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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