Botev Vratsa 1-0 PFC Beroe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.42
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
20%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-11.1pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.9pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+8.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.9pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 14%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.49/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/1.81
-16% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +13%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
379 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Vratsa
1W-1D-0L
AWAY PFC Beroe
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
6 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2024 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 2-2 HT 1-0 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa BUL1
22.09.2023 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 1-0 HT 0-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botev Vratsa
1-0
AWAY PFC Beroe
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Botev Vratsa vs PFC Beroe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Vratsa edged past PFC Beroe 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Botev Vratsa as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Botev Vratsa had 52% of the ball to PFC Beroe's 48%, shots finished 10-3.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Botev Vratsa had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Botev Vratsa and 1.00 for PFC Beroe.

What was the final score of Botev Vratsa vs PFC Beroe?

Botev Vratsa 1-0 PFC Beroe in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Vratsa vs PFC Beroe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Botev Vratsa win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Botev Vratsa 55%, draw 25%, PFC Beroe 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botev Vratsa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Botev Vratsa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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