Atletico Ottawa 3-0 Forge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 25 May 2024

Atletico Ottawa
3-0 HT 1-0
Forge
📅25/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Kanada - Premier League – 2024

Atletico Ottawa vs Forge Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
39%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.74
Over 2.5
38%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.81
No
58%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.88
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.05
6+ Goals
8%
18.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.88 — our 35% vs market 28.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
39%
-5.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
54%
+8.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
46%
-8.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.6pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Ottawa v Forge — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Ottawa EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Forge EU Bookmakers 37%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +9%
1.48/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/0.77
+3% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +84%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 81%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
14.5 Crosses 18.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1

Atletico Ottawa vs Forge Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Ottawa
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Forge
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.67 xG 1.25
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
311 Passes 423
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
17 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.10.2023 Forge Forge 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa CAPL
27.08.2023 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 0-0 HT 0-0 Forge Forge CAPL
26.06.2023 Forge Forge 4-3 HT 3-1 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa KAPL
27.05.2023 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 0-1 HT 0-0 Forge Forge CAPL
31.10.2022 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 0-2 HT 0-1 Forge Forge CAPL
28.08.2022 Atletico Ottawa Atletico Ottawa 0-0 HT 0-0 Forge Forge CAPL

Atletico Ottawa 3-0 Forge — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Ottawa
3-0
AWAY Forge
1.21 xG 0.32
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
379 Passes 484
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 22
8 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Ottawa vs Forge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Ottawa swept aside Forge 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Atletico Ottawa made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, Atletico Ottawa had 43% of the ball to Forge's 57%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 1.21 to 0.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forge led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Atletico Ottawa and 1.17 for Forge.

What was the final score of Atletico Ottawa vs Forge?

Atletico Ottawa 3-0 Forge in the Kanada - Premier League on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Ottawa vs Forge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Forge win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Atletico Ottawa 33%, draw 28%, Forge 38%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Forge), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Forge) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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