York United 2-1 HFX Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 25 May 2024

York United
2-1 HT 2-0
HFX Wanderers
📅25/05/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Kanada - Premier League – 2024

York United vs HFX Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.22
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.65
6+ Goals
10%
15.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.65 — our 26% vs market 22.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.5pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

York United v HFX Wanderers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME York United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY HFX Wanderers EU Bookmakers 34%
+45% / +45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
2.80/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.63
+119% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
331 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
21.0 Crosses 12.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1

York United vs HFX Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME York United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY HFX Wanderers
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.24 xG 1.45
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
336 Passes 346
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
04.09.2023 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-2 HT 1-1 York United York United CAPL
30.07.2023 York United York United 0-2 HT 0-1 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
22.06.2023 York United York United 2-2 HT 1-1 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
20.05.2023 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 0-3 HT 0-2 York United York United KAPL
17.09.2022 York United York United 0-0 HT 0-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
01.08.2022 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 2-4 HT 0-2 York United York United KAPL

York United 2-1 HFX Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME York United
2-1
AWAY HFX Wanderers
1.32 xG 1.51
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 0
415 Passes 501
87% Pass Accuracy 90%
14 Box Touches 25
12 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH York United vs HFX Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

York United squeezed past HFX Wanderers 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day York United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, York United had 47% of the ball to HFX Wanderers's 53%, shots finished 5-14, expected goals 1.32 to 1.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, York United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for York United and 1.17 for HFX Wanderers.

What was the final score of York United vs HFX Wanderers?

York United 2-1 HFX Wanderers in the Kanada - Premier League on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for York United vs HFX Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a York United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split York United 38%, draw 28%, HFX Wanderers 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (York United), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (York United) ✓ BTTS Yes
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