Randers FC 1-0 Vejle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
24%
4.27
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
2.99
6+ Goals
12%
9.13
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.27 — our 24% vs market 18.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.99
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.55
X/1
17%
3.9
X/2
8%
10.6
X/X
8%
6.02
2/1
8%
21.1
2/2
11%
7.81
2/X
9%
16.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
59%
-10.5pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.2pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+6.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.4pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Randers FC EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Vejle EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +11%
2.48/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.63
+19% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
384 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
33.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
18.2 Crosses 16.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Randers FC
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Vejle
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.99 xG 0.60
52% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
360 Passes 301
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 Vejle Vejle 1-2 HT 0-1 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
01.12.2023 Randers FC Randers FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Vejle Vejle DAN
17.09.2023 Vejle Vejle 1-2 HT 0-0 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
21.11.2021 Randers FC Randers FC 4-1 HT 1-1 Vejle Vejle DAN
18.07.2021 Vejle Vejle 0-2 HT 0-2 Randers FC Randers FC DAN
10.03.2021 Randers FC Randers FC 3-1 HT 3-1 Vejle Vejle DAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Randers FC
1-0
AWAY Vejle
3.68 xG 0.27
59% Ball Possession 41%
24 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 6
368 Passes 228
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
42 Box Touches 12
23 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Randers FC vs Vejle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Randers FC edged past Vejle 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Randers FC as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Randers FC had 59% of the ball to Vejle's 41%, shots finished 24-8, expected goals 3.68 to 0.27 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Randers FC's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Randers FC had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Randers FC and 0.67 for Vejle.

What was the final score of Randers FC vs Vejle?

Randers FC 1-0 Vejle in the Denmark - Süperlig on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Randers FC vs Vejle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Randers FC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Randers FC 49%, draw 26%, Vejle 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Randers FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Randers FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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DAN More Denmark - Süperlig
25 May 2024
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