Viborg 2-1 Odense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
37%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.33
Over 2.5
51%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.83
2-3 Goals
41%
1.93
4-5 Goals
22%
2.8
6+ Goals
10%
7.61
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.83 — our 27% vs market 16.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.34
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.9
X/1
11%
4.41
X/2
16%
8.28
X/X
7%
5.99
2/1
6%
20.6
2/2
14%
5.55
2/X
10%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
52%
-11.9pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.1pp
37%
Away Win
25%
+11.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
39%
+10.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
61%
-10.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.4pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viborg EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Odense EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +18%
1.63/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.30
-8% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
415 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
23.2 Crosses 15.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viborg
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Odense
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.48 xG 1.26
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
393 Passes 390
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2024 Odense Odense 1-3 HT 1-1 Viborg Viborg DAN
16.02.2024 Viborg Viborg 1-2 HT 1-2 Odense Odense DAN
07.08.2023 Odense Odense 1-2 HT 0-1 Viborg Viborg DAN
16.10.2022 Viborg Viborg 0-0 HT 0-0 Odense Odense DAN
04.09.2022 Odense Odense 1-2 HT 1-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
12.05.2022 Odense Odense 1-1 HT 1-1 Viborg Viborg DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viborg
2-1
AWAY Odense
2.25 xG 2.09
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 8
416 Passes 396
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 25
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Viborg vs Odense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viborg squeezed past Odense 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 23% / 37%) promised a tight game; Viborg found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Viborg had 50% of the ball to Odense's 50%, shots finished 14-20, expected goals 2.25 to 2.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viborg had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Viborg and 1.00 for Odense.

What was the final score of Viborg vs Odense?

Viborg 2-1 Odense in the Denmark - Süperlig on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viborg vs Odense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viborg win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Viborg 40%, draw 23%, Odense 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viborg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Viborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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