Fujieda MYFC 1-1 Kagoshima United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.09
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.79
6+ Goals
9%
16.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.09 — our 32% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.2pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.3pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.6pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fujieda MYFC EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Kagoshima United EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
2.07/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.84
+51% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -34%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
391 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fujieda MYFC
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Kagoshima United
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.07.2022 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC 2-1 HT 2-1 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP3
10.04.2022 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 2-0 HT 1-0 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC JAP3
20.11.2021 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC 0-1 HT 0-0 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP3
15.05.2021 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United 0-3 HT 0-0 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC JAP3
29.08.2020 Fujieda MYFC Fujieda MYFC 1-0 HT 1-0 Kagoshima United Kagoshima United JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fujieda MYFC
1-1
AWAY Kagoshima United
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Fujieda MYFC vs Kagoshima United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fujieda MYFC and Kagoshima United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Fujieda MYFC at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Fujieda MYFC had 51% of the ball to Kagoshima United's 49%, shots finished 8-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Fujieda MYFC had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Fujieda MYFC and 0.80 for Kagoshima United.

What was the final score of Fujieda MYFC vs Kagoshima United?

Fujieda MYFC 1-1 Kagoshima United in the Japan - J2 League on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fujieda MYFC vs Kagoshima United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fujieda MYFC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Fujieda MYFC 42%, draw 24%, Kagoshima United 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fujieda MYFC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fujieda MYFC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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