FK Tukums 2000 0-1 Rigas Skola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
9.57
Draw
22%
7.78
Away
60%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.98
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
36%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
7%
+11.3pp
22%
Draw
9%
+12.9pp
60%
Away Win
84%
-24.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.3pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Rigas Skola EU Bookmakers 90%
+13% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
1.08/2.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.42/0.69
+37% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -16%
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 7
253 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 82%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 46.2
10.1 Crosses 28.0
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Tukums 2000
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Rigas Skola
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.67
1.04 xG 2.83
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 23
4 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 6
209 Passes 464
68% Pass Accuracy 83%
11 Box Touches 48
10 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2024 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 5-0 HT 3-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
21.10.2023 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 4-5 HT 1-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
20.09.2023 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 1-3 HT 1-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LETK
29.07.2023 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 7-0 HT 5-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
09.05.2023 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 1-7 HT 1-3 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
14.04.2023 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 1-0 HT 0-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Tukums 2000
0-1
AWAY Rigas Skola
0.11 xG 1.81
32% Ball Possession 68%
3 Total Shots 28
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 15
145 Passes 374
63% Pass Accuracy 81%
7 Box Touches 56
6 Crosses 47
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FK Tukums 2000 vs Rigas Skola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rigas Skola squeezed past FK Tukums 2000 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rigas Skola as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FK Tukums 2000 had 32% of the ball to Rigas Skola's 68%, shots finished 3-28, expected goals 0.11 to 1.81 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Rigas Skola's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rigas Skola led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FK Tukums 2000 and 4.67 for Rigas Skola.

What was the final score of FK Tukums 2000 vs Rigas Skola?

FK Tukums 2000 0-1 Rigas Skola in the Latvia - Virsliga on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Tukums 2000 vs Rigas Skola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rigas Skola win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split FK Tukums 2000 18%, draw 22%, Rigas Skola 60%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rigas Skola), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rigas Skola) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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