Metta / LU Riga 1-1 Grobina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 25 May 2024

📅25/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-3.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.3pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metta / LU Riga EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Grobina EU Bookmakers 33%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.19/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.12
-35% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
292 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 73%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
21.6 Crosses 15.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metta / LU Riga
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Grobina
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
2.10 xG 0.73
67% Ball Possession 33%
19 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
476 Passes 186
84% Pass Accuracy 67%
31 Box Touches 17
29 Crosses 17
5 Yellow Cards 1
13.04.2024 Grobina Grobina 3-0 HT 2-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metta / LU Riga
1-1
AWAY Grobina
1.28 xG 1.12
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
371 Passes 325
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
31 Box Touches 28
10 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Metta / LU Riga vs Grobina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metta / LU Riga and Grobina couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Metta / LU Riga had 52% of the ball to Grobina's 48%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.28 to 1.12.

What was the final score of Metta / LU Riga vs Grobina?

Metta / LU Riga 1-1 Grobina in the Latvia - Virsliga on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metta / LU Riga vs Grobina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Metta / LU Riga win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Metta / LU Riga 39%, draw 27%, Grobina 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Metta / LU Riga), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Metta / LU Riga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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