Polonia Bytom 3-0 Lech Poznan II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 25 May 2024

Polonia Bytom
3-0 HT 1-0
Lech Poznan II
📅25/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Poland - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Polonia Bytom vs Lech Poznan II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.21
Over 2.5
60%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
4.47
2-3 Goals
42%
1.89
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
30%
2.92
6+ Goals
10%
8.53
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.92 — our 30% vs market 28.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-7.8pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.7pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.1pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Polonia Bytom v Lech Poznan II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonia Bytom EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Lech Poznan II EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +11%
2.35/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.49
+43% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.7

Polonia Bytom vs Lech Poznan II Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polonia Bytom
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lech Poznan II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
25 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 5
16 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
12.11.2023 Lech Poznan II Lech Poznan II 1-0 HT 1-0 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom POL2

Polonia Bytom 3-0 Lech Poznan II — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonia Bytom
3-0
AWAY Lech Poznan II
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Polonia Bytom vs Lech Poznan II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonia Bytom ran out comfortable winners over Lech Poznan II 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Polonia Bytom as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Polonia Bytom had 56% of the ball to Lech Poznan II's 44%, shots finished 17-9.

What was the final score of Polonia Bytom vs Lech Poznan II?

Polonia Bytom 3-0 Lech Poznan II in the Poland - 2nd Division on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonia Bytom vs Lech Poznan II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polonia Bytom win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Polonia Bytom 48%, draw 27%, Lech Poznan II 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polonia Bytom), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Polonia Bytom) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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