Wisla Pulawy 0-3 Pogon Siedlce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 25 May 2024

Wisla Pulawy
0-3 HT 0-1
Pogon Siedlce
📅25/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Poland - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Wisla Pulawy vs Pogon Siedlce Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.8
Over 2.5
36%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.7
No
60%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
3.22
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.64
6+ Goals
8%
14.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 37% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
5%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
29%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-0.7pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.0pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
52%
+12.7pp
36%
Over 2.5
48%
-12.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
55%
-14.4pp
60%
BTTS No
45%
+14.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wisla Pulawy v Pogon Siedlce — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wisla Pulawy EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Siedlce EU Bookmakers 45%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +24%
0.95/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/0.89
-28% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +47%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
351 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.8

Wisla Pulawy vs Pogon Siedlce Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wisla Pulawy
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Pogon Siedlce
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 6
The Meetings
12.11.2023 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 2-2 HT 1-0 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy POL2
06.05.2023 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy 1-2 HT 0-1 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POL2
01.10.2022 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 1-1 HT 1-0 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy POL2
14.05.2022 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 3-3 HT 0-1 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy POL2
06.11.2021 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy 3-0 HT 2-0 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POL2
27.01.2018 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 1-3 HT 1-2 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy HAZ

Wisla Pulawy 0-3 Pogon Siedlce — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wisla Pulawy
0-3
AWAY Pogon Siedlce
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wisla Pulawy vs Pogon Siedlce
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pogon Siedlce ran out comfortable winners over Wisla Pulawy 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (29% / 32% / 38%) promised a tight game; Pogon Siedlce found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

On the day, Wisla Pulawy had 40% of the ball to Pogon Siedlce's 60%, shots finished 6-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wisla Pulawy had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Wisla Pulawy and 1.50 for Pogon Siedlce.

What was the final score of Wisla Pulawy vs Pogon Siedlce?

Wisla Pulawy 0-3 Pogon Siedlce in the Poland - 2nd Division on 25/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wisla Pulawy vs Pogon Siedlce?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pogon Siedlce win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Wisla Pulawy 29%, draw 32%, Pogon Siedlce 38%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pogon Siedlce), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pogon Siedlce) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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