Mlada Boleslav 2-2 Slovacko — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.95
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
2.94
6+ Goals
12%
9.06
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.95 — our 26% vs market 19.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Slovacko EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -16%
1.55/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.84
+24% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -19%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
310 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 77%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
18.3 Crosses 15.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mlada Boleslav
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Slovacko
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.30 xG 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
331 Passes 312
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 29
20 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.11.2024 Slovacko Slovacko 1-1 HT 1-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
28.07.2024 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 3-0 HT 2-0 Slovacko Slovacko ÇEK
14.05.2024 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 0-1 HT 0-1 Slovacko Slovacko ÇEK
16.12.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 0-1 HT 0-0 Slovacko Slovacko ÇEK
19.08.2023 Slovacko Slovacko 2-2 HT 1-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
05.03.2023 Slovacko Slovacko 2-1 HT 1-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mlada Boleslav
2-2
AWAY Slovacko
2.31 xG 1.38
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
389 Passes 232
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mlada Boleslav vs Slovacko
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mlada Boleslav and Slovacko couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Mlada Boleslav at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Mlada Boleslav had 60% of the ball to Slovacko's 40%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 2.31 to 1.38.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slovacko led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mlada Boleslav and 1.17 for Slovacko.

What was the final score of Mlada Boleslav vs Slovacko?

Mlada Boleslav 2-2 Slovacko in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mlada Boleslav vs Slovacko?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mlada Boleslav win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Mlada Boleslav 44%, draw 27%, Slovacko 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mlada Boleslav) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mlada Boleslav) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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