Mlada Boleslav 3-0 Slovacko — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.3
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.58
6+ Goals
11%
14.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.58 — our 25% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.8pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Slovacko EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +3%
2.03/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.44
+28% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +30%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
18.8 Crosses 13.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mlada Boleslav
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Slovacko
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.68 xG 0.95
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
350 Passes 262
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
27 Box Touches 22
31 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.05.2024 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 0-1 HT 0-1 Slovacko Slovacko ÇEK
16.12.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 0-1 HT 0-0 Slovacko Slovacko ÇEK
19.08.2023 Slovacko Slovacko 2-2 HT 1-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
05.03.2023 Slovacko Slovacko 2-1 HT 1-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
18.11.2022 Slovacko Slovacko 1-0 HT 0-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEKK
11.09.2022 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 1-1 HT 0-1 Slovacko Slovacko ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mlada Boleslav
3-0
AWAY Slovacko
1.92 xG 1.38
42% Ball Possession 58%
16 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 10
277 Passes 396
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
28 Box Touches 39
8 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mlada Boleslav vs Slovacko
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mlada Boleslav swept aside Slovacko 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Mlada Boleslav found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mlada Boleslav had 42% of the ball to Slovacko's 58%, shots finished 16-17, expected goals 1.92 to 1.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slovacko led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Mlada Boleslav and 1.33 for Slovacko.

What was the final score of Mlada Boleslav vs Slovacko?

Mlada Boleslav 3-0 Slovacko in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mlada Boleslav vs Slovacko?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mlada Boleslav win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mlada Boleslav 40%, draw 30%, Slovacko 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mlada Boleslav), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mlada Boleslav) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇEK More Czech Republic - Czech Liga
28 Jul 2024
15:30 Slovan Liberec vs Sigma Olomouc Analysis →
18:00 Banik Ostrava vs Jablonec Analysis →
21:00 Viktoria Plzen vs Hradec Kralove Analysis →