Viktoria Plzen 1-0 Hradec Kralove — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
21%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.39
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
27%
2.94
6+ Goals
11%
8.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
69%
-11.0pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.0pp
21%
Away Win
13%
+7.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Plzen EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Hradec Kralove EU Bookmakers 16%
-3% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +21%
1.94/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.94
+4% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +34%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
317 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 74%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
25.4 Crosses 19.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Plzen
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Hradec Kralove
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.49 xG 0.40
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
361 Passes 155
81% Pass Accuracy 66%
24 Box Touches 19
33 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 1-1 HT 1-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
30.07.2023 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 1-1 HT 0-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
28.01.2023 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 1-2 HT 1-1 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
13.08.2022 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 1-2 HT 1-1 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
11.05.2022 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove 0-2 HT 0-1 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
06.02.2022 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 1-0 HT 1-0 Hradec Kralove Hradec Kralove ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Plzen
1-0
AWAY Hradec Kralove
1.31 xG 0.72
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
314 Passes 281
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Viktoria Plzen vs Hradec Kralove
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Plzen nicked a narrow win over Hradec Kralove 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Viktoria Plzen as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Viktoria Plzen had 53% of the ball to Hradec Kralove's 47%, shots finished 8-4, expected goals 1.31 to 0.72.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viktoria Plzen had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Viktoria Plzen and 0.83 for Hradec Kralove.

What was the final score of Viktoria Plzen vs Hradec Kralove?

Viktoria Plzen 1-0 Hradec Kralove in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Plzen vs Hradec Kralove?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viktoria Plzen win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Plzen 58%, draw 22%, Hradec Kralove 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viktoria Plzen) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Viktoria Plzen) ✗ Over 2.5
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