Slovan Liberec 1-1 Sigma Olomouc — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.66
No
55%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.76
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.24
6+ Goals
10%
11.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 28% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+0.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
56%
-11.5pp
55%
BTTS No
44%
+11.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slovan Liberec EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sigma Olomouc EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -13%
1.27/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.87
-2% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 72%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
24.9 Crosses 19.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slovan Liberec
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sigma Olomouc
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.76 xG 0.41
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
279 Passes 303
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
38 Box Touches 14
28 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 3
10.02.2024 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 2-0 HT 0-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
27.08.2023 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 2-0 HT 0-0 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
18.02.2023 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 2-2 HT 1-1 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
26.11.2022 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 4-1 HT 2-1 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEKK
31.08.2022 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 1-1 HT 1-0 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ÇEK
30.04.2022 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 0-2 HT 0-1 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slovan Liberec
1-1
AWAY Sigma Olomouc
1.83 xG 1.15
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
319 Passes 227
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
45 Box Touches 27
26 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Slovan Liberec vs Sigma Olomouc
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slovan Liberec and Sigma Olomouc couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Slovan Liberec at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Slovan Liberec had 55% of the ball to Sigma Olomouc's 45%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.83 to 1.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Slovan Liberec and 1.33 for Sigma Olomouc.

What was the final score of Slovan Liberec vs Sigma Olomouc?

Slovan Liberec 1-1 Sigma Olomouc in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slovan Liberec vs Sigma Olomouc?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slovan Liberec win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Slovan Liberec 49%, draw 24%, Sigma Olomouc 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Slovan Liberec), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Slovan Liberec) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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