Banik Ostrava 1-0 Jablonec — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.48
2-3 Goals
36%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.92
6+ Goals
11%
8.48
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-4.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+3.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.9pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banik Ostrava EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Jablonec EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -9%
2.84/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.26
+20% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
257 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 81%
33.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
19.6 Crosses 21.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banik Ostrava
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Jablonec
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.88 xG 0.84
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
139 Passes 290
54% Pass Accuracy 69%
22 Box Touches 15
11 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 4
07.04.2024 Jablonec Jablonec 2-3 HT 1-2 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
28.10.2023 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 0-1 HT 0-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
14.05.2023 Jablonec Jablonec 1-1 HT 1-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
11.02.2023 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 1-2 HT 0-1 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
27.08.2022 Jablonec Jablonec 1-1 HT 0-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
20.04.2022 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 1-0 HT 1-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Banik Ostrava
1-0
AWAY Jablonec
1.35 xG 0.71
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
335 Passes 338
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Banik Ostrava vs Jablonec
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banik Ostrava squeezed past Jablonec 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Banik Ostrava as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Banik Ostrava had 49% of the ball to Jablonec's 51%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.35 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Banik Ostrava and 1.17 for Jablonec.

What was the final score of Banik Ostrava vs Jablonec?

Banik Ostrava 1-0 Jablonec in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banik Ostrava vs Jablonec?

Before kick-off our model rated a Banik Ostrava win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Banik Ostrava 47%, draw 25%, Jablonec 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Banik Ostrava) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Banik Ostrava) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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