Incheon United 2-0 Jeonnam Dragons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 25 May 2025

Incheon United
2-0 HT 1-0
Jeonnam Dragons
📅25/05/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
South Kore - K League Challenge – 2025

Incheon United vs Jeonnam Dragons Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.8
Over 2.5
57%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-1.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.5pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
52%
-8.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
48%
+8.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.7pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Incheon United v Jeonnam Dragons — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Incheon United EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons EU Bookmakers 23%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +20%
2.52/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.53
+46% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
20.1 Crosses 15.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8

Incheon United vs Jeonnam Dragons Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Incheon United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.34 xG 0.81
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
237 Passes 285
70% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
22.08.2018 Incheon United Incheon United 3-1 HT 2-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR
05.11.2017 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 2-2 HT 1-2 Incheon United Incheon United GKOR
20.09.2017 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 0-0 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOR
28.05.2017 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 3-2 HT 3-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOR
15.04.2017 Incheon United Incheon United 1-3 HT 1-2 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR
13.08.2016 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 2-1 HT 1-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK

Incheon United 2-0 Jeonnam Dragons — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Incheon United
2-0
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons
64% Ball Possession 36%
23 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
479 Passes 242
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
34 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Incheon United vs Jeonnam Dragons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Incheon United saw off Jeonnam Dragons 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Incheon United as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Incheon United had 64% of the ball to Jeonnam Dragons's 36%, shots finished 23-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jeonnam Dragons led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Incheon United and 1.83 for Jeonnam Dragons.

What was the final score of Incheon United vs Jeonnam Dragons?

Incheon United 2-0 Jeonnam Dragons in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Incheon United vs Jeonnam Dragons?

Before kick-off our model rated a Incheon United win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Incheon United 53%, draw 25%, Jeonnam Dragons 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Incheon United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Incheon United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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