Suwon Bluewings 1-1 Gimpo Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.19
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.41
6+ Goals
10%
13.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 28% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
56%
-9.4pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.8pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suwon Bluewings EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimpo Citizen EU Bookmakers 24%
-6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +12%
1.70/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.18
-2% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +30%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
403 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
24.6 Crosses 14.6
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suwon Bluewings
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Gimpo Citizen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
61% Ball Possession 39%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
549 Passes 156
85% Pass Accuracy 64%
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 0
27.10.2024 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOR2
29.07.2024 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen 1-1 HT 0-1 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOR2
14.04.2024 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 2-1 HT 1-0 Gimpo Citizen Gimpo Citizen GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suwon Bluewings
1-1
AWAY Gimpo Citizen
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 4
397 Passes 221
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
31 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Suwon Bluewings vs Gimpo Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suwon Bluewings and Gimpo Citizen couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Suwon Bluewings at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Suwon Bluewings had 63% of the ball to Gimpo Citizen's 37%, shots finished 16-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Suwon Bluewings had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Suwon Bluewings and 0.67 for Gimpo Citizen.

What was the final score of Suwon Bluewings vs Gimpo Citizen?

Suwon Bluewings 1-1 Gimpo Citizen in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suwon Bluewings vs Gimpo Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suwon Bluewings win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Suwon Bluewings 46%, draw 27%, Gimpo Citizen 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Suwon Bluewings), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Suwon Bluewings) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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