Gareji 1-1 Saburtalo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 25 May 2025

Gareji
1-1 HT 0-1
Saburtalo
📅25/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Georgia - Erovnuli Liga – 2026

Gareji vs Saburtalo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
51%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
23%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
26%
-0.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
51%
Away Win
49%
+1.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.7pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gareji v Saburtalo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gareji EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Saburtalo EU Bookmakers 53%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +12%
2.33/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.10/1.46
+127% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -37%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
213 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9

Gareji vs Saburtalo Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gareji
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Saburtalo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
3 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
14.04.2025 Saburtalo 2-1 HT 1-0 Gareji Gareji GUR

Gareji 1-1 Saburtalo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gareji
1-1
AWAY Saburtalo
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gareji vs Saburtalo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gareji and Saburtalo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Saburtalo at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Gareji had 48% of the ball to Saburtalo's 52%, shots finished 16-9.

What was the final score of Gareji vs Saburtalo?

Gareji 1-1 Saburtalo in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gareji vs Saburtalo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Gareji 25%, draw 24%, Saburtalo 51%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Saburtalo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Saburtalo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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