Skjetten 2-5 Lilleström II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.81
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
3.94
Over 2.5
68%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.39
No
44%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
9.9
2-3 Goals EV+ ✗
40%
2.57
4-5 Goals
30%
2.26
6+ Goals
16%
3.16
Value flag · 2-3 Goals at 2.57 — our 40% vs market 32.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
66%
-14.5pp
24%
Draw
18%
+6.3pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.3pp
32%
Under 2.5
22%
+10.5pp
68%
Over 2.5
78%
-10.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
-12.2pp
44%
BTTS No
32%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skjetten EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Lilleström II EU Bookmakers 20%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +6%
2.47/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/2.64
-4% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
376 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Skjetten
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Lilleström II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
33% Ball Possession 67%
4 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.08.2023 Skjetten Skjetten 3-1 HT 0-1 Lilleström II Lilleström II NOR4
03.07.2023 Lilleström II Lilleström II 0-1 HT 0-1 Skjetten Skjetten NOR4
29.08.2022 Lilleström II Lilleström II 0-1 HT 0-0 Skjetten Skjetten NOR4
04.06.2022 Skjetten Skjetten 3-1 HT 1-0 Lilleström II Lilleström II NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Skjetten
2-5
AWAY Lilleström II
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Skjetten vs Lilleström II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lilleström II swept aside Skjetten 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Skjetten at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Skjetten had 53% of the ball to Lilleström II's 47%, shots finished 9-14.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Skjetten had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Skjetten and 0.50 for Lilleström II.

What was the final score of Skjetten vs Lilleström II?

Skjetten 2-5 Lilleström II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skjetten vs Lilleström II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Skjetten win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Skjetten 51%, draw 24%, Lilleström II 25%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Skjetten) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Skjetten) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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