Ullern 4-3 Floya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 25 May 2025

Ullern
4-3 HT 1-2
Floya
📅25/05/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.69
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
47%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
Over 2.5
71%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.33
No
36%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
23%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
24%
+6.1pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.2pp
47%
Away Win
58%
-11.4pp
64%
BTTS Yes
71%
-6.8pp
36%
BTTS No
29%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ullern EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Floya EU Bookmakers 62%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
0.77/3.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.73
-55% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -13%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
243 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 523 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ullern
4-3
AWAY Floya
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ullern vs Floya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ullern nicked a narrow win over Floya 4-3. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Floya at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (71%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

On the day, Ullern had 44% of the ball to Floya's 56%, shots finished 12-11.

What was the final score of Ullern vs Floya?

Ullern 4-3 Floya in the Norway - 3rd Division on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ullern vs Floya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Floya win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ullern 30%, draw 23%, Floya 47%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Floya) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Floya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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