Ben Guerdane 0-3 ES Tunis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - Cup, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒17:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.71
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
50%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
23%
X/X
18%
2/1
3%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
+3.8pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.5pp
50%
Away Win
58%
-8.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.3pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ben Guerdane EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY ES Tunis EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% / +18%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
232 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ben Guerdane
0W-1D-5L
AWAY ES Tunis
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.11.2024 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane 1-1 HT 1-0 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN1
01.06.2023 ES Tunis ES Tunis 2-0 HT 0-0 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane TUN
02.03.2023 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane 1-2 HT 1-1 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN
22.02.2023 ES Tunis ES Tunis 4-0 HT 4-0 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane TNUSK
26.06.2022 ES Tunis ES Tunis 2-1 HT 0-1 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane TUN
19.05.2022 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane 0-3 HT 0-1 ES Tunis ES Tunis TUN1
POST-MATCH Ben Guerdane vs ES Tunis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Tunis swept aside Ben Guerdane 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had ES Tunis as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, ES Tunis led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ben Guerdane and 2.33 for ES Tunis.

What was the final score of Ben Guerdane vs ES Tunis?

Ben Guerdane 0-3 ES Tunis in the Tunisia - Cup on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ben Guerdane vs ES Tunis?

Before kick-off our model rated an ES Tunis win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ben Guerdane 22%, draw 28%, ES Tunis 50%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ES Tunis), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (ES Tunis) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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