Forward Madison 1-1 Portland Hearts of Pine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.74
Over 2.5
39%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
15%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.4pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.2pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
54%
+7.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
46%
-7.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.8pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forward Madison EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Portland Hearts of Pine EU Bookmakers 28%
-6% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-42% / +59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.4 Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Forward Madison
1-1
AWAY Portland Hearts of Pine
1.39 xG 0.65
60% Ball Possession 40%
7 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
362 Passes 204
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
17 Box Touches 15
11 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Forward Madison vs Portland Hearts of Pine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forward Madison and Portland Hearts of Pine shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Forward Madison at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Forward Madison had 60% of the ball to Portland Hearts of Pine's 40%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 1.39 to 0.65.

What was the final score of Forward Madison vs Portland Hearts of Pine?

Forward Madison 1-1 Portland Hearts of Pine in the USA - USL League 1 on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forward Madison vs Portland Hearts of Pine?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forward Madison win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Forward Madison 43%, draw 32%, Portland Hearts of Pine 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Forward Madison), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Forward Madison) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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