Texoma 1-0 Greenville Triumph — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
53%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
32%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
26%
-2.9pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.4pp
53%
Away Win
51%
+1.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.7pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Texoma EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Greenville Triumph EU Bookmakers 56%
-40% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.49/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.14
-61% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 80%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
16.5 Crosses 18.8
4.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Texoma
1-0
AWAY Greenville Triumph
0.98 xG 0.74
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
238 Passes 282
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 13
9 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Texoma vs Greenville Triumph
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Texoma squeezed past Greenville Triumph 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Greenville Triumph at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Texoma had 47% of the ball to Greenville Triumph's 53%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 0.98 to 0.74.

What was the final score of Texoma vs Greenville Triumph?

Texoma 1-0 Greenville Triumph in the USA - USL League 1 on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Texoma vs Greenville Triumph?

Before kick-off our model rated an Greenville Triumph win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Texoma 23%, draw 24%, Greenville Triumph 53%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Greenville Triumph) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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