Alta 2-1 Charlotte Independence — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
37%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.07
Over 2.5
57%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-6.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
37%
Away Win
29%
+7.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.2pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alta EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlotte Independence EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +17%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
359 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
Crosses 15.6
Yellow Cards 3.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alta
2-1
AWAY Charlotte Independence
2.02 xG 1.32
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 9
390 Passes 261
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 29
11 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alta vs Charlotte Independence
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alta nicked a narrow win over Charlotte Independence 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 37% — and on the day Alta made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Alta had 57% of the ball to Charlotte Independence's 43%, shots finished 15-18, expected goals 2.02 to 1.32.

What was the final score of Alta vs Charlotte Independence?

Alta 2-1 Charlotte Independence in the USA - USL League 1 on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alta vs Charlotte Independence?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alta win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Alta 39%, draw 24%, Charlotte Independence 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alta), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alta) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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