Nantong Zhiyun 1-1 Tianjin Teda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 25 Jun 2024

📅25/06/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.75
2-3 Goals
32%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.24
6+ Goals
11%
21.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.75 — our 35% vs market 30.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.54
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
9%
14.3
X/1
15%
7.03
X/2
15%
4.4
X/X
15%
4.18
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.86
2/X
4%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+3.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-3.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nantong Zhiyun EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Tianjin Teda EU Bookmakers 49%
-45% / -45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.90/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.28
-72% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -24%
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
259 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 75%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
19.9 Crosses 18.2
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nantong Zhiyun
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Tianjin Teda
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.19 xG 1.48
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
219 Passes 314
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
02.03.2024 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 1-1 HT 0-0 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun ÇİN
04.11.2023 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun 1-2 HT 0-2 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda ÇİN
07.07.2023 Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 1-1 HT 0-0 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun ÇİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nantong Zhiyun
1-1
AWAY Tianjin Teda
1.00 xG 0.99
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 8
143 Passes 285
63% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 28
9 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nantong Zhiyun vs Tianjin Teda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nantong Zhiyun and Tianjin Teda couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Tianjin Teda at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Nantong Zhiyun had 37% of the ball to Tianjin Teda's 63%, shots finished 12-19, expected goals 1.00 to 0.99.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Tianjin Teda led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nantong Zhiyun and 1.33 for Tianjin Teda.

What was the final score of Nantong Zhiyun vs Tianjin Teda?

Nantong Zhiyun 1-1 Tianjin Teda in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 25/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nantong Zhiyun vs Tianjin Teda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tianjin Teda win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nantong Zhiyun 31%, draw 28%, Tianjin Teda 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tianjin Teda), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tianjin Teda) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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