Fransa vs Polonya Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fransa v Polonya — Team-Based Signals
Fransa vs Polonya Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-0
Polonya
DK
0-1
HT 0-1
Fransa
HAZ
0-0
HT 0-0
Polonya
HAZ
Fransa 1-1 Polonya — Actual Match Statistics
Fransa and Polonya shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Fransa at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.
On the day, Fransa had 58% of the ball to Polonya's 42%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 2.32 to 1.16.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fransa had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fransa and 0.33 for Polonya.
What was the final score of Fransa vs Polonya?
Fransa 1-1 Polonya in the Euro on 25/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fransa vs Polonya?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fransa win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Fransa 61%, draw 22%, Polonya 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Fransa), BTTS No went the other way.