Hollanda 2-3 Avusturya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Euro, 25 Jun 2024

Hollanda
2-3 HT 0-1
Avusturya
📅25/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Euro – 2024

Hollanda vs Avusturya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.41
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.48
6+ Goals
10%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 27% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.35
1/2
6%
45.5
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
19%
4.3
X/2
8%
9.13
X/X
13%
4.62
2/1
4%
24.85
2/2
9%
6.89
2/X
7%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
52%
-0.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.9pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.7pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hollanda v Avusturya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hollanda EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Avusturya EU Bookmakers 25%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/4.00
-58% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -52%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
427 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Hollanda vs Avusturya Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hollanda
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Avusturya
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
3.01 xG 0.38
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
379 Passes 437
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 13
5 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.06.2021 Hollanda Hollanda 2-0 HT 1-0 Avusturya Avusturya AVR
04.06.2016 Avusturya Avusturya 0-2 HT 0-1 Hollanda Hollanda HAZ
09.02.2011 Hollanda Hollanda 3-1 HT 1-0 Avusturya Avusturya HAZ
26.03.2008 Avusturya Avusturya 3-4 HT 3-1 Hollanda Hollanda HAZ

Hollanda 2-3 Avusturya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hollanda
2-3
AWAY Avusturya
1.73 xG 0.95
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
358 Passes 317
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hollanda vs Avusturya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avusturya squeezed past Hollanda 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Hollanda at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Hollanda had 52% of the ball to Avusturya's 48%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.73 to 0.95 — on chances, Hollanda could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Hollanda had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Hollanda and 1.00 for Avusturya.

What was the final score of Hollanda vs Avusturya?

Hollanda 2-3 Avusturya in the Euro on 25/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hollanda vs Avusturya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hollanda win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Hollanda 52%, draw 26%, Avusturya 23%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hollanda) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVR More Euro
25 Jun 2024
19:00 Fransa vs Polonya Analysis →
22:00 Danimarka vs Sırbistan Analysis →
22:00 İngiltere vs Slovenya Analysis →