Gimcheon Sangmu 2-0 Daejeon Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 25 Jun 2024

📅25/06/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.02
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.87
6+ Goals
9%
17.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.42
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.6
X/1
17%
4.03
X/2
12%
8.37
X/X
12%
4.65
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
7%
6.69
2/X
6%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-2.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 26%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
0.87/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.32
-53% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
353 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 75%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
19.8 Crosses 15.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.25 xG 1.28
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
371 Passes 219
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
23 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.04.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
29.10.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 0-4 HT 0-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
26.10.2022 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 2-1 HT 1-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
26.09.2021 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-1 HT 1-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR2
03.07.2021 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-4 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR2
15.05.2021 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-1 HT 0-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
2-0
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
458 Passes 375
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gimcheon Sangmu vs Daejeon Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimcheon Sangmu saw off Daejeon Citizen 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gimcheon Sangmu as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Gimcheon Sangmu had 53% of the ball to Daejeon Citizen's 47%, shots finished 13-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gimcheon Sangmu and 1.50 for Daejeon Citizen.

What was the final score of Gimcheon Sangmu vs Daejeon Citizen?

Gimcheon Sangmu 2-0 Daejeon Citizen in the South Kore - K League Classic on 25/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimcheon Sangmu vs Daejeon Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimcheon Sangmu win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Gimcheon Sangmu 49%, draw 25%, Daejeon Citizen 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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