Suwon City 1-0 Gwangju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 25 Jun 2024

📅25/06/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.0
Over 2.5
43%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.61
No
58%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.73
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
3.26
6+ Goals
10%
11.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.73 — our 32% vs market 21.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.8
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X
7%
12.9
X/1
12%
5.8
X/2
13%
5.43
X/X
11%
4.9
2/1
10%
28.0
2/2
15%
3.46
2/X
7%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+4.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-3.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
46%
+11.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
54%
-11.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
58%
-15.5pp
58%
BTTS No
42%
+15.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suwon City EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Gwangju EU Bookmakers 42%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.35/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.18
+29% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -25%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 82%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
16.6 Crosses 15.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suwon City
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Gwangju
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.23 xG 1.55
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
370 Passes 387
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 20
28 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 1-2 HT 1-1 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
22.07.2023 Suwon City Suwon City 0-1 HT 0-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
28.05.2023 Suwon City Suwon City 0-2 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
01.04.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 2-0 HT 2-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
24.10.2021 Suwon City Suwon City 1-3 HT 0-2 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
11.05.2021 Suwon City Suwon City 2-1 HT 0-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suwon City
1-0
AWAY Gwangju
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
301 Passes 436
82% Pass Accuracy 88%
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Suwon City vs Gwangju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suwon City squeezed past Gwangju 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Suwon City made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Suwon City had 41% of the ball to Gwangju's 59%, shots finished 7-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gwangju led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Suwon City and 1.67 for Gwangju.

What was the final score of Suwon City vs Gwangju?

Suwon City 1-0 Gwangju in the South Kore - K League Classic on 25/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suwon City vs Gwangju?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suwon City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Suwon City 40%, draw 25%, Gwangju 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Suwon City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Suwon City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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