Mekelle Kenema 0-1 Mebrat Hayl — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 25 Jun 2025

📅25/06/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.52
Over 2.5
33%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.06
No
61%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.7pp
33%
Draw
30%
+3.1pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.6pp
67%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.9pp
33%
Over 2.5
38%
-4.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.5pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mekelle Kenema EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Mebrat Hayl EU Bookmakers 32%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
2.23/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.62
+124% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +66%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
316 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mekelle Kenema
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Mebrat Hayl
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
1 Total Shots 2
1 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.01.2025 Mebrat Hayl Mebrat Hayl 0-1 Mekelle Kenema Mekelle Kenema ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mekelle Kenema
0-1
AWAY Mebrat Hayl
57% Ball Possession 43%
6 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mekelle Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mebrat Hayl nicked a narrow win over Mekelle Kenema 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 33% / 30% — and on the day Mebrat Hayl made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Mekelle Kenema had 57% of the ball to Mebrat Hayl's 43%, shots finished 6-4.

What was the final score of Mekelle Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl?

Mekelle Kenema 0-1 Mebrat Hayl in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 25/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mekelle Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mekelle Kenema win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Mekelle Kenema 37%, draw 33%, Mebrat Hayl 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mekelle Kenema) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mekelle Kenema) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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