Al Zawraa 2-1 Al Minaa Basra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 25 Jun 2025

📅25/06/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
27%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
66%
-7.1pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.1pp
17%
Away Win
13%
+3.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.4pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Zawraa EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Minaa Basra EU Bookmakers 16%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.76/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/0.75
+19% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +117%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
457 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Al Zawraa vs Al Minaa Basra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Zawraa nicked a narrow win over Al Minaa Basra 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Zawraa as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Al Zawraa vs Al Minaa Basra?

Al Zawraa 2-1 Al Minaa Basra in the Iraq - Premier League on 25/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Zawraa vs Al Minaa Basra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Zawraa win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Al Zawraa 59%, draw 24%, Al Minaa Basra 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Zawraa) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Zawraa) ✗ BTTS No
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