Erbil 2-1 Duhok — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 25 Jun 2025

Erbil
2-1 HT 0-0
Duhok
📅25/06/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
35%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+4.4pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.8pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-6.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erbil EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Duhok EU Bookmakers 45%
-45% / -45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -56% / -56%
0.67/1.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.26/1.44
-31% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -78% / -41%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
273 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Erbil vs Duhok
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erbil nicked a narrow win over Duhok 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Erbil found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Erbil vs Duhok?

Erbil 2-1 Duhok in the Iraq - Premier League on 25/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erbil vs Duhok?

Before kick-off our model rated a Erbil win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Erbil 35%, draw 30%, Duhok 35%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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