Aalesund 0-1 Viking — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - NM Cup, 25 Jun 2025

Aalesund
0-1 HT 0-0
Viking
📅25/06/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Norway - NM Cup – 2025

Aalesund vs Viking Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.13
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
49%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.61
No
38%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.84
2-3 Goals
42%
1.98
4-5 Goals
23%
2.9
6+ Goals
14%
7.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
7.6
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
20.35
1/X
8%
15.6
X/1
9%
10.4
X/2
15%
4.44
X/X
11%
6.21
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
28%
2.06
2/X
5%
14.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.35 — our 7% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
21%
+5.4pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.7pp
49%
Away Win
56%
-7.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+5.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-5.9pp
62%
BTTS Yes
58%
+3.8pp
38%
BTTS No
42%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aalesund v Viking — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aalesund EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Viking EU Bookmakers 61%
+69% / +69% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.36/0.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.08/1.88
-2% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -25%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
285 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.6

Aalesund vs Viking Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalesund
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Viking
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.62 xG 2.02
46% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
291 Passes 372
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 33
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.11.2023 Aalesund Aalesund 0-4 HT 0-2 Viking Viking NOR
24.07.2023 Viking Viking 3-1 HT 1-1 Aalesund Aalesund NOR
02.10.2022 Aalesund Aalesund 2-1 HT 0-0 Viking Viking NOR
10.04.2022 Viking Viking 1-0 HT 0-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR
20.09.2020 Viking Viking 5-2 HT 1-1 Aalesund Aalesund NOR
09.08.2020 Aalesund Aalesund 2-2 HT 1-2 Viking Viking NOR
POST-MATCH Aalesund vs Viking
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viking squeezed past Aalesund 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Viking as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viking led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Aalesund and 2.67 for Viking.

What was the final score of Aalesund vs Viking?

Aalesund 0-1 Viking in the Norway - NM Cup on 25/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aalesund vs Viking?

Before kick-off our model rated an Viking win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Aalesund 26%, draw 24%, Viking 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viking) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Viking) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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