Rosenborg 1-1 Sarpsborg 08 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - NM Cup, 25 Jun 2025

Rosenborg
1-1 HT 0-1
Sarpsborg 08
📅25/06/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Norway - NM Cup – 2025

Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.6
No
37%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
4.63
2-3 Goals
37%
1.95
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
29%
2.97
6+ Goals
16%
8.48
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 2.97 — our 29% vs market 28.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.3
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
16%
4.63
X/2
8%
9.11
X/X
12%
5.82
2/1
7%
21.0
2/2
16%
6.48
2/X
7%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-8.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+5.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.5pp
63%
BTTS Yes
58%
+4.8pp
37%
BTTS No
42%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rosenborg v Sarpsborg 08 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosenborg EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 EU Bookmakers 27%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.35/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.17/3.30
+4% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -50%
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
317 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 0.0

Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosenborg
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Sarpsborg 08
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.55 xG 1.96
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
356 Passes 356
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
33 Box Touches 27
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.11.2024 Rosenborg Rosenborg 1-1 HT 0-0 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
12.07.2024 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 4-1 HT 3-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
08.10.2023 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 5-2 HT 1-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
25.06.2023 Rosenborg Rosenborg 0-3 HT 0-3 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
13.11.2022 Rosenborg Rosenborg 2-3 HT 1-2 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
18.04.2022 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 1-1 HT 1-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR

Rosenborg 1-1 Sarpsborg 08 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosenborg
1-1
AWAY Sarpsborg 08
68% Ball Possession 32%
30 Total Shots 11
12 Shots on Target 4
14 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosenborg and Sarpsborg 08 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Rosenborg at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (63%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Rosenborg had 68% of the ball to Sarpsborg 08's 32%, shots finished 30-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sarpsborg 08 led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Rosenborg and 2.83 for Sarpsborg 08.

What was the final score of Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08?

Rosenborg 1-1 Sarpsborg 08 in the Norway - NM Cup on 25/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosenborg vs Sarpsborg 08?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rosenborg win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Rosenborg 44%, draw 27%, Sarpsborg 08 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rosenborg), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rosenborg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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