Portland Hearts of Pine vs Richmond Kickers Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Portland Hearts of Pine v Richmond Kickers — Team-Based Signals
Portland Hearts of Pine vs Richmond Kickers Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Portland Hearts of Pine 5-1 Richmond Kickers — Actual Match Statistics
Portland Hearts of Pine cruised past Richmond Kickers 5-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Portland Hearts of Pine as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 3.58 to 0.84.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Portland Hearts of Pine had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Portland Hearts of Pine and 1.00 for Richmond Kickers.
What was the final score of Portland Hearts of Pine vs Richmond Kickers?
Portland Hearts of Pine 5-1 Richmond Kickers in the USA - USL League 1 on 25/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Portland Hearts of Pine vs Richmond Kickers?
Before kick-off our model rated a Portland Hearts of Pine win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Portland Hearts of Pine 54%, draw 25%, Richmond Kickers 21%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portland Hearts of Pine), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.