Amazonas 1-1 Guarani FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 25 Jul 2024

Amazonas
1-1 HT 1-1
Guarani FC
📅25/07/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2024

Amazonas vs Guarani FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.15
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
15%
5.85
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.4pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.5pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+1.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.4pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Amazonas v Guarani FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amazonas EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Guarani FC EU Bookmakers 26%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +4%
1.50/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.10
-23% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
308 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
31.8 Crosses 18.7
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.8

Amazonas 1-1 Guarani FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amazonas
1-1
AWAY Guarani FC
1.51 xG 0.53
71% Ball Possession 29%
20 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 2
370 Passes 107
82% Pass Accuracy 58%
27 Box Touches 9
33 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Amazonas vs Guarani FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Amazonas and Guarani FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Amazonas at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Amazonas had 71% of the ball to Guarani FC's 29%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 1.51 to 0.53.

What was the final score of Amazonas vs Guarani FC?

Amazonas 1-1 Guarani FC in the Brazil - Serie B on 25/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amazonas vs Guarani FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amazonas win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Amazonas 44%, draw 31%, Guarani FC 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Amazonas), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Amazonas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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