Brusque 1-0 Paysandu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 25 Jul 2024

Brusque
1-0 HT 1-0
Paysandu
📅25/07/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2024

Brusque vs Paysandu Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.48
Over 2.5
32%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.06
No
64%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.9pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.8pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.7pp
68%
Under 2.5
64%
+4.2pp
32%
Over 2.5
36%
-4.2pp
36%
BTTS Yes
44%
-8.5pp
64%
BTTS No
56%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brusque v Paysandu — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brusque EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Paysandu EU Bookmakers 36%
-6% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +19%
1.10/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.51
-27% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +134% / -26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
284 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 80%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
23.2 Crosses 23.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.4

Brusque vs Paysandu Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brusque
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Paysandu
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.07.2023 Paysandu Paysandu 0-2 HT 0-0 Brusque Brusque BRE3

Brusque 1-0 Paysandu — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brusque
1-0
AWAY Paysandu
1.40 xG 0.92
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 9
241 Passes 396
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 27
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Brusque vs Paysandu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brusque edged past Paysandu 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) promised a tight game; Brusque found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Brusque had 39% of the ball to Paysandu's 61%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 1.40 to 0.92.

What was the final score of Brusque vs Paysandu?

Brusque 1-0 Paysandu in the Brazil - Serie B on 25/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brusque vs Paysandu?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paysandu win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Brusque 34%, draw 30%, Paysandu 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Paysandu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paysandu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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